Bullshit Readings
Statistical traps and trickery. Bayes rules and conditional probabilities. Base-rate fallacy/prosecutor’s fallacy. Simpson’s paradox. Data censoring. Will Rogers effect, lead-time bias, and length time bias. Means versus medians. Importance of high moments.
READ Simpson’s paradox: An interactive data visualization from VUDlab at UC Berkeley.
OR...
READ Alvan Feinstein et al. (1985) The Will Rogers Phenomenon - Stage Migration and New Diagnostic Techniques as a Source of Misleading Statistics for Survival in Cancer. New England Journal of Medicine 312:1604-1608.
REVIEW Musicians and Mortality Case Study OR Track Records Case Study.
Educational Research PowerPoint
READ this PowerPoint on educational research.
Tasks
Read one of the articles, review one of the case studies, read that PowerPoint, and do Blog #5.